Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.263009 0.306403 0.354389 0.411342 0.477053 0.550448 0.638606
2025-04-13 0.183220 0.238909 0.307322 0.397342 0.512474 0.654580 0.843095
2025-04-20 0.146577 0.207243 0.287591 0.401361 0.557838 0.764983 1.059469
2025-04-27 0.127887 0.193119 0.284945 0.422888 0.624007 0.905547 1.328430
2025-05-04 0.111769 0.178775 0.278243 0.435542 0.676738 1.031011 1.588846
2025-05-11 0.097333 0.164011 0.267856 0.439845 0.715758 1.138806 1.833512
2025-05-18 0.084484 0.149384 0.255031 0.437600 0.742864 1.229624 2.060115
2025-05-25 0.073329 0.135650 0.241386 0.431498 0.761852 1.308110 2.273661
2025-06-01 0.064572 0.124633 0.230566 0.428228 0.784257 1.393198 2.505439
2025-06-08 0.055611 0.111838 0.214794 0.413888 0.785072 1.440805 2.676645
2025-06-15 0.053416 0.111423 0.221231 0.440401 0.861647 1.627337 3.110738
2025-06-22 0.046546 0.100825 0.207159 0.426411 0.861177 1.674822 3.296111
2025-06-29 0.040366 0.090863 0.193297 0.411590 0.858349 1.719402 3.484485
2025-07-06 0.035166 0.082214 0.180975 0.398365 0.857241 1.767417 3.685434
2025-07-13 0.032216 0.078021 0.177283 0.402433 0.891472 1.887529 4.040601
2025-07-20 0.031018 0.077608 0.181579 0.424018 0.964618 2.092765 4.588786
2025-07-27 0.029217 0.075506 0.181853 0.436704 1.019900 2.266405 5.088141
2025-08-03 0.027005 0.072069 0.178636 0.441018 1.057023 2.405086 5.526278
2025-08-10 0.024614 0.067816 0.172936 0.438767 1.078817 2.512373 5.905773
2025-08-17 0.022260 0.063293 0.165996 0.432650 1.090823 2.598952 6.247204
2025-08-24 0.020314 0.059558 0.160505 0.429372 1.109115 2.701267 6.634085
2025-08-31 0.018027 0.054531 0.151082 0.414995 1.098648 2.735979 6.866741
2025-09-07 0.017856 0.055451 0.157240 0.441576 1.193269 3.027284 7.736437